Thursday 11/04/2024

John Hall • Apr 11, 2024

Daily Update 11/04/2024

Key Headlines


•            Hot CPI number drives USD

•            US PPI and ECB in focus today



Recap


A higher-than-expected CPI number yesterday saw US 10-year treasury yields soar to 4.5%, taking GBPUSD and EURUSD towards the lows of this year, a key support level that continues to hold, with dip buyers holding up each respective pair. Market pricing now sees the Fed's rate cut now more likely coming in September.


Today’s Overview


Yesterday's US CPI numbers now rules out any rate cut prospects for June and July by the Fed, with markets putting a 90% chance of a hike in September and only pricing in 40 bps worth of cuts this year. Both GBPUSD and EURUSD are trading at 2024 lows, with markets still on the side-lines waiting to drive USD stronger. Today's attentions falls on the PPI inflation numbers, and an uptick on this data will likely cause more USD gains. Also, we wait for the ECB. No change is expected in interest rates, but we look out for what the communication is from Christine Lagarde.


Equals Market Analysis– 11th April 2024


Today’s Rates

Today's Interbank Rates at 09:30 am against GBP movement.

GBP>EUR – 1.1686

GBP>USD – 1.2561

EUR>USD – 1.0743

GBP>CAD – 1.7181

GBP>AUD – 1.9248

GBP>SEK – 13.451

GBP>AED – 4.6104

GBP>HKD – 9.8410

GBP>ZAR – 23.620

GBP>CHF – 1.1470

GBP>PLN – 4.9829



Speeches


•          EUR: ECB Lagarde

•          GBP: BoE Greene

•          USD: Fed Williams, Barkin, Collins, Bostic


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This document has been prepared solely for information and is not intended as an Inducement concerning the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. By its nature market analysis represents the personal view of the author and no warranty can be, or is, offered as to the accuracy of any such analysis, or that predictions provided in any such analysis will prove to be correct. Should you rely on any analysis, information, or report provided as part of the Service it does so entirely at its own risk, and Frank eXchange Limited accepts no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage you may suffer as a result. Information and opinions have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no representation is made as to their accuracy. No copy of this document can be taken without prior written permission.

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