20th February 2025

John Hall • February 20, 2025

Key Headline:

·       President Donald Trump has indicated that a new trade agreement with China is possible.

·       UK consumer confidence drops to an 11-month low in February 2025, falling three points to -37.


Recap

·      GBP remained stable despite higher-than-expected headline inflation and a smaller-than-forecast rise in services inflation.

·      Inflation data had minimal impact on future interest rate expectations for the UK.

·      USD initially strengthened after FOMC minutes showed officials' willingness to keep rates unchanged until inflation improves.

·      USD gains were short-lived, reversing after Trump hinted at a potential new trade deal with China.


Today’s Rates

Today's Interbank Rates at 10:25 am against GBP movement.

GBP>EUR – 1.2082

GBP>USD – 1.2614

EUR>GBP – 0.8275

EUR>USD – 1.0440

GBP>CAD – 1.7923

GBP>AUD – 1.9782

GBP>SEK – 13.483

GBP>CHF – 1.1379

GBP>PLN – 5.0391

GBP>AED – 4.6392

GBP>HKD – 9.8148

GBP>ZAR – 23.340

 

Today’s Key Takeaways

·       Markets expected to remain quiet, with only jobless claims data due in the afternoon.

·       USD likely to stay soft following Trump’s comments on a potential China trade deal.

·       UK retail sales report tomorrow will be closely watched, given the recent drop in consumer confidence.

·       British Retail Consortium survey highlights weakest consumer confidence since Labour took power, with many anticipating economic challenges ahead.

 

20th February 2025


This document has been prepared solely for information and is not intended as an Inducement concerning the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. By its nature market analysis represents the personal view of the author and no warranty can be, or is, offered as to the accuracy of any such analysis, or that predictions provided in any such analysis will prove to be correct. Should you rely on any analysis, information, or report provided as part of the Service it does so entirely at its own risk, and Frank eXchange Limited accepts no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage you may suffer as a result. Information and opinions have been obtained from sources believed to be dependable, but no representation is made as to their accuracy. No copy of this document can be taken without prior written permission.

                       


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