21st February

John Hall • February 21, 2025

Key Headline:

  • GBP Support: Strong UK retail sales add to positive economic data, potentially boosting GBP.
  • EUR Weakness: Political uncertainty ahead of German elections may weigh on the euro.
  • USD will the correction continue?


Recap

·      USD Correction: Continued decline driven by optimism over a potential US-China deal and weaker US data.

·      UK Retail Sales: Surged 1.7% in January, rebounding from a 0.6% drop in December.

·      Stronger UK Data: Retail figures add to a week of robust UK economic performance, supporting GBP.


Today’s Rates

Today's Interbank Rates at 10:25 am against GBP movement.

GBP>EUR – 1.2084

GBP>USD – 1.2653

EUR>GBP – 0.8275

EUR>USD – 1.0470

GBP>CAD – 1.7923

GBP>AUD – 1.9755

GBP>SEK – 13.468

GBP>CHF – 1.1372

GBP>PLN – 5.0377

GBP>AED – 4.6475

GBP>HKD – 9.8337

GBP>ZAR – 23.220


Today’s Key Takeaways

·       PMI Releases Today: Key manufacturing and services data from the UK, EU, and US will provide insight into economic performance.

·       USD Correction in Focus: While PMI data will impact FX, the broader market narrative revolves around how much further the USD correction can extend.

·       GBP & EUR Upside Potential: GBP/USD and EUR/USD could revisit December highs if the USD weakness continues.

·       EUR Uncertainty: Potential weakness in the euro ahead of Sunday’s German elections, as market nervousness may weigh on the currency.


21st February 2025


This document has been prepared solely for information and is not intended as an Inducement concerning the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. By its nature market analysis represents the personal view of the author and no warranty can be, or is, offered as to the accuracy of any such analysis, or that predictions provided in any such analysis will prove to be correct. Should you rely on any analysis, information, or report provided as part of the Service it does so entirely at its own risk, and Frank eXchange Limited accepts no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage you may suffer as a result. Information and opinions have been obtained from sources believed to be dependable, but no representation is made as to their accuracy. No copy of this document can be taken without prior written permission.

                       


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