Monday 16/12/2024
Daily Update 16/12/2024
Key Headlines:
- GBP declines amid signs of UK economic contraction.
- Rising concerns over stagflation may place additional pressure on the pound.
Recap
GBP faced further losses following weak October growth figures, with GBPEUR slipping further from its April 2022 highs as markets begin to anticipate a convergence in BoE and ECB rate policies in 2025. Meanwhile, the USD, despite initial weakness in the morning, extended its winning streak to a seventh consecutive day by market close.
Today’s Rates
Today's Interbank Rates at 09:34 am against GBP movement.
GBP>EUR – 1.2043
GBP>USD – 1.2664
EUR>GBP – 0.8300
EUR>USD – 1.0516
GBP>CAD – 1.8016
GBP>AUD – 1.9872
GBP>SEK – 13.872
GBP>AED – 4.6519
GBP>HKD – 9.8460
GBP>ZAR – 22.608
GBP>CHF – 1.1272
GBP>PLN – 5.1339
Today’s Key Takeaways
- Key Data for GBP This Week: PMI numbers (Monday), job data (Tuesday), inflation figures (Wednesday), BoE rate decision (Thursday), and retail sales (Friday).
- BoE Outlook: Markets remain cautious about potential stagflation risks for 2025, which could weigh on GBP. No rate cuts are expected at this week’s meeting, but the BoE's outlook remains pivotal.
- Fed Meeting on Wednesday Night: A 25bps rate cut is widely anticipated, but any signal of reduced rate cuts for 2025 could further support USD strength. No dovish surprises are expected.
- Bank of Japan Rate Decision: Markets assign a 20% chance of a rate hike, with recent reports suggesting no changes. JPY could weaken further depending on the accompanying statement.
16th December 2024
This document has been prepared solely for information and is not intended as an Inducement concerning the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. By its nature market analysis represents the personal view of the author and no warranty can be, or is, offered as to the accuracy of any such analysis, or that predictions provided in any such analysis will prove to be correct. Should you rely on any analysis, information, or report provided as part of the Service it does so entirely at its own risk, and Frank eXchange Limited accepts no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage you may suffer as a result. Information and opinions have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no representation is made as to their accuracy. No copy of this document can be taken without prior written permission.
Contact Us
Frank eXchange Limited is a trusted service partner of International Britain, offering a consultancy network of businesses designed to elevate your company on a global scale. Discover more about International Britain and explore other trusted members of our network by clicking the logo.
Office
Frank Exchange Ltd.
Unit F1, Ransom Hall, Ransom Wood Business Park, Southwell Road West,
Mansfield, NG21 0HJ.
Legal - Terms and conditions | Privacy policy
For clients based in the European Economic Area, payment services for Frank eXchange Limited are provided by CurrencyCloud B.V.. Registered in the Netherlands No. 72186178. Registered Office: Nieuwezijds Voorburgwal 296 - 298, Mindspace Nieuwezijds Office 001 Amsterdam. CurrencyCloud B.V. is authorised by the DNB under the Wet op het financieel toezicht to carry out the business of an electronic-money institution (Relation Number: R142701).
For clients based in the United Kingdom and rest of the world, payment services for Frank eXchange Limited are provided by The Currency Cloud Limited. Registered in England and Wales No. 06323311. Registered Office: Stewardship Building 1st Floor, 12 Steward Street London E1 6FQ. The Currency Cloud Limited is authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority under the Electronic Money Regulations 2011 for the issuing of electronic money (FRN: 900199).
Payment services for Frank eXchange are also provided by Sciopay Ltd. Sciopay Ltd is a company incorporated in England & Wales. Registration No: 12352935. Sciopay Ltd is licensed and regulated by HMRC as a Money Service Business (MSB). License No: XCML00000151326. Sciopay Ltd is authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority as an Authorised Payment Institution. Firm Reference Number: 927951
Payment services in the United States are provided by Visa Global Services Inc. (VGSI), a licensed money transmitter (NMLS ID 181032) in the states listed here. VGSI is licensed as a money transmitter by the New York Department of Financial Services. Mailing address: 900 Metro Center Blvd, Mailstop 1Z, Foster City, CA 94404. VGSI is also a registered Money Services Business ("MSB") with FinCEN and a registered Foreign MSB with FINTRAC. For live customer support contact VGSI at (888) 733-0041.
Anti-Bullying and Harassment Policy
At Frank eXchange Limited, we are committed to providing a safe and respectful environment for both our customers and staff. We do not tolerate any form of bullying, harassment, or abusive behaviour towards our employees.
Any communication that is deemed offensive, threatening, or disrespectful may result in the termination of services. We expect all interactions to be conducted with professionalism and courtesy to ensure a positive experience for everyone involved.
Thank you for your understanding and cooperation.
Website designed by: We Are Doodlebug